Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 16.505401 19.155357 22.032722 25.381201 29.162547 33.291991 38.134189
2025-08-03 12.026318 15.657336 19.992307 25.510077 32.303452 40.348090 50.545070
2025-08-10 9.137437 13.060800 18.114308 25.013162 34.085354 45.497200 60.808817
2025-08-17 7.164862 11.107587 16.528063 24.376979 35.275450 49.672628 69.887273
2025-08-24 5.716421 9.544501 15.126388 23.642945 36.043554 53.129965 78.063868
2025-08-31 4.544863 8.146264 13.698201 22.591684 36.117708 55.479415 84.726323
2025-09-07 3.970337 7.566116 13.379527 23.082001 38.383119 60.983942 96.097817
2025-09-14 3.482178 7.035617 13.045061 23.466728 40.461586 66.294960 107.468362
2025-09-21 2.947674 6.324678 12.303522 23.079779 41.248009 69.657131 116.079622
2025-09-28 2.474727 5.639073 11.501672 22.475007 41.582020 72.281046 123.651687
2025-10-05 2.373805 5.659069 11.955050 24.072125 45.673566 81.069655 141.322277
2025-10-12 2.230855 5.567426 12.183014 25.273455 49.160463 89.065706 158.139950
2025-10-19 2.003688 5.285744 12.064799 25.929099 51.933765 96.372144 174.807252
2025-10-26 1.744394 4.889468 11.679654 26.066781 53.851302 102.477304 190.072199
2025-11-02 1.468550 4.392931 11.010366 25.561576 54.527884 106.483293 202.050253
2025-11-09 1.227359 3.923141 10.319228 24.913483 54.847256 109.844344 213.079964
2025-11-16 1.019532 3.486929 9.627689 24.165460 54.876421 112.645290 223.246005
2025-11-23 0.828009 3.042851 8.838562 23.094019 54.134790 113.940455 230.751231
2025-11-30 0.746899 2.901585 8.760365 23.593767 56.635085 121.441501 249.906163
2025-12-07 0.670378 2.754579 8.643309 23.985875 58.933221 128.684182 268.954727
2025-12-14 0.571425 2.505876 8.217562 23.591503 59.503447 132.594405 281.959970
2025-12-21 0.479258 2.251065 7.728342 22.975094 59.519191 135.388446 292.967299
2025-12-28 0.471928 2.304468 8.117214 24.602854 64.682329 148.803907 325.080171